剑桥Thinking Skills Assessment 真题NO1 2004a

Monday

3 For years environmentalists have been tellingus that becausehuman activity damagesthe planet, there is adanger that human life will be wiped out. They have made many predictions which they say will provide us withevidence that the planet cannot recover from our destructive activities, and thus that it will beunable to sustain human existence. Everyone agrees that this would be a disaster. But the things which environmentalists have predicted have not happened,so we can concludethat our activities do not pose a threat to human existence.

Which of the following states the flawin the above argument?

A       The fact that a prediction has not been fulfilled is not evidencethat it will not occur.

B       The fact that human activity is damaging is notevidence that a disaster will soon occur.

C       The fact that environmentalists are wrong is evidence that we should ignore all their predictions.

D       The fact that it would be a disaster if human life were wiped out is not evidencethat this will nothappen.

E       The fact that the planetcannot recover from our destructive activities is not evidence that humanlife will be wiped out.

来源: 剑桥Thinking Skills Assessment 真题NO1 2004a